My early Oscar nomination predictions
From left, director Chloe Zhao, cinematographer Joshua James Richards, and lead actress Frances McDormand are early favorites to snag Oscar nominations for their work on Nomadland.
January 27, 2021
For the first time in 87 years, an Oscar awards ceremony will include films released over the span of more than a single year.
With this year’s show taking place on April 25 and the qualifying period ending on February 28 (as opposed to the usual New Year’s Eve cutoff), it will be a historic year at the Oscars no matter what happens at the show.
For the past month or so, we here at the ScreenTime World Headquarters have been talking about — and sometimes writing about — the upcoming Oscar nominations, which are set to be released on March 15. That means that from now until March 15, we get to watch movies and discuss and speculate on who might be nominated. Then from March 15 through April 24, we get to watch the movies we haven’t yet seen, discuss them, and attempt to forecast who we think will win.
So, yeah, we don’t get much these days in the film world, but we are going to get a proper Oscar season. And, frankly, I couldn’t be more excited.
Looking back over all the films released in the last year (not to mention the films that will be released between now and March 14), I gotta say, it hasn’t been a bad movie year. This year’s Oscars show producer, Steven Soderbergh, has made some key decisions that have influenced studios to release some films to VOD or streaming that they had otherwise planned to shelve until the movie theater industry is running full speed again.
And so, with all that in mind, and with the information we have now, I present to you the much anticipated, historic even (and way-too-early), ScreenTime 2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions:
Hoyte van Hoytema (Tenet), Joshua James Richards (Nomadland), Erik Messerschmidt (Mank), Sean Bobbitt (Judas and the Black Messiah), and Lukasz Zal (I’m Thinking of Ending Things)
Chloe Zhao (Nomadland), Lee Isaac Chung (Minari), David Fincher (Mank), Kelly Reichardt (First Cow), and Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amanda Seyfried (Mank), Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm), Olivia Colman (The Father), Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman), and Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah), Bill Murray (On the Rocks), David Strathairn (Nomadland), Mark Ryland (Trial of the Chicago 7), and Sacha Baron Cohen (Trial of the Chicago 7)
BEST LEAD ACTRESS
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman), Frances McDormand (Nomadland), Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman), Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom), Zendaya (Malcolm & Marie)
BEST LEAD ACTOR
Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal), Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom), Anthony Hopkins (The Father), Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloodz), and Gary Oldman (Mank)
Promising Young Woman (dir. Emerald Fennell), Nomadland (dir. Chloe Zhao), Soul (dir. Pete Doctor), First Cow (dir. Kelly Reichardt), Sound of Metal (dir. Darius Marder), Mank (dir. David Fincher), The Trial of the Chicago 7 (dir. Aaron Sorkin), Da 5 Bloodz (dir. Spike Lee), Never Rarely Sometimes Always (dir. Eliza Hittman), and Tenet (dir. Christopher Nolan).
Look at those ten films listed above. Wow! Not a bad crop of films at all. Now get on with it and start watching all these movies.